The Economist and 024_andrew ask:
Which party's candidate will win the next presidential election in France?
Closed Apr 24, 2022 07:01AM UTC
France is scheduled to hold its next presidential election on 10 April 2022, with a possible runoff two weeks later (Economist, France24). Incumbent Emmanuel Macron is expected to formally announce his candidacy in 2022 (Politico.eu, Politico.eu - France Poll of Polls).
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The question closed "The Republic Forward (La République En Marche!)" with a closing date of 24 April 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| National Rally (Rassemblement National) | 3% | |
| The Republic Forward (La République En Marche!) | 97% | |
| The Republicans (Les Républicains) | 0% | |
| Unbowed France (La France Insoumise) | 0% | |
| None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 281 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 938 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
