The Economist and 024_andrew ask:
Which party's candidate will win the next presidential election in France?
Closed Apr 24, 2022 07:01AM UTC
France is scheduled to hold its next presidential election on 10 April 2022, with a possible runoff two weeks later (Economist, France24). Incumbent Emmanuel Macron is expected to formally announce his candidacy in 2022 (Politico.eu, Politico.eu - France Poll of Polls).
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The question closed "The Republic Forward (La République En Marche!)" with a closing date of 24 April 2022.
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|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|National Rally (Rassemblement National)||3%|
|The Republic Forward (La République En Marche!)||97%|
|The Republicans (Les Républicains)||0%|
|Unbowed France (La France Insoumise)||0%|
|None of the above||0%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||281|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 229|
|Number of Forecasts||938|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 637|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|