Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:

Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?

Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election in 2022, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 to Win). Elections are scheduled for 8 November 2022 (Ballotpedia). If control is dependent upon a runoff election, the suspend date will be extended to the date of the latest relevant runoff. If control is dependent upon a recount, the question will remain suspended and closed as of 8 November 2022 when the outcome is known.

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The question closed "Republican Party" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Democratic Party 18%
Republican Party 82%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 696
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 1887
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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