Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many public Level 2 and DC Fast electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the US as of 29 April 2022?

Started Oct 29, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Focus is being directed at electric vehicle charging infrastructure in the US (The Hill). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the US Department of Energy's Alternative Fuels Data Center on 29 April 2022 at approximately 5:00PM ET (Alternative Fueling Station Locator, parameters are set with the link). Data on public Level 2 and DC Fast charge stations can be found by selecting the "Advanced Filters" tab. First select "Location" on the left and set "Country" to be "United States" while keeping "State/Territory" to be "All." Then select "Fuel" on the left. Under "Filter by Fuel Type," select "Electric" and set "Charger types" to both "Level 2" and "DC Fast" while keeping "Connectors" and "Networks" to be "All."

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The question closed "Fewer than 49,000" with a closing date of 29 April 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 49,000 100%
Between 49,000 and 53,000, inclusive 0%
More than 53,000 but fewer than 57,000 0%
Between 57,000 and 61,000, inclusive 0%
More than 61,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 81
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 398
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.235
2.
-0.231
3.
-0.181
4.
-0.162
5.
-0.151

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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