Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

When will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen 2.3 million or more travelers per day for three consecutive days?

The aviation industry is working to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic (Economist). The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA). The question will resolve when throughput data for 2021 or 2022 next show three consecutive days of 2.3 million or more travelers, which last occurred in December 2019 (Sorted TSA Data Download, see both sheets).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Before 1 January 2022 0.00% +0.00%
Between 1 January 2022 and 31 March 2022 0.00% +0.00%
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 June 2022 40.00% -1.00%
Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022 48.00% +0.00%
Not before 1 October 2022 12.00% +1.00%

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