Started Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 24, 2022 02:10PM UTC

In Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, will the Supreme Court explicitly overrule Roe v. Wade?

The Supreme Court is reviewing what could be the biggest abortion case since its decision in Planned Parenthood v. Casey in 1992 (Oyez, SCOTUSblog, C-SPAN). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2021 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 24 June 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 97.50%
No 2.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 124
Average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 395
Average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.835
2.
-0.817
3.
-0.807
4.
-0.795

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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