Will employees at Amazon's Bessemer, Alabama, warehouse vote in the affirmative to unionize in their next scheduled election?

Started Jan 14, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags

In early January, the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) announced a new unionization vote for workers at an Amazon warehouse in Alabama, with ballots due by 25 March 2022 and counting scheduled for 28 March 2022 (CNBC, The Verge).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


After another review of the particulars of this question and speaking with an official at the NLRB's Region 10 office, we have concluded that the question should be resolved with the vote totals announced for the March 2022 election. Therefore, the question closed "No" with a closing date of 25 March 2022.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.00%
No 95.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 102
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 330
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.046
2.
-0.043
3.
-0.043
4.
-0.043
5.
-0.043

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username