JGunnCool asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the US Senate independently expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

After using a legislative workaround to bypass the 60-vote requirement for an increase in the debt ceiling, Democrats are struggling to find other ways to bypass the filibuster (CNN, The Hill). A change requiring action outside of the Senate (e.g., congressional legislation) would not count (e.g., Senate Bill 610).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.40%
No 97.60%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 123
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 325
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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