Started Jan 28, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Will Major League Baseball's (MLB's) Opening Day occur on 31 March 2022?

Baseball club owners locked players out of their facilities after their collective bargaining agreement with the MLB Players Association expired on 1 December 2021, though negotiations between the parties continue (ESPN, CBS Sports, MLBPA). As of 28 January 2022, the regular season was scheduled to begin on 31 March 2022 (MLB). Whether so-called replacement players are fielded is immaterial, and not all games must be played to count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 31 March 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 109
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 310
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.408
2.
-0.401
3.
-0.392
4.
-0.385
5.
-0.327

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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