What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 26 August 2022?
Closed Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Fertilizer costs in the US have skyrocketed to historic highs in recent months (Farm Bureau, Texas Farm Bureau, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Green Markets (Green Markets).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "More than 800.00 but less than 1,000.00" with a closing date of 26 August 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 600.00 | 0% | |
| Between 600.00 and 800.00, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than 800.00 but less than 1,000.00 | 96% | |
| Between 1,000.00 and 1,200.00, inclusive | 1% | |
| More than 1,200.00 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 44 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 421 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
