Started Feb 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 26 August 2022?

Fertilizer costs in the US have skyrocketed to historic highs in recent months (Farm Bureau, Texas Farm Bureau, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Green Markets (Green Markets).

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The question closed "More than 800.00 but less than 1,000.00" with a closing date of 26 August 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 600.00 0%
Between 600.00 and 800.00, inclusive 3%
More than 800.00 but less than 1,000.00 96%
Between 1,000.00 and 1,200.00, inclusive 1%
More than 1,200.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 421
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.176
2.
-0.166
3.
-0.161
4.
-0.126
5.
-0.101

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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