Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the price of steel plate in the US be higher as of 28 February 2022 than it was as of 24 January 2022, according to Steel Benchmarker?
Closed Feb 28, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Steel prices have seen large gains as inflation grips the US economy (NPR). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by SteelBenchmarker (SteelBenchmarker, see USA FOB mill, "Dollars per Metric Tonne," page 10 as of launch). As of 24 January 2022, the price for "Plate" was 2,015.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 28 February 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80.00% | |
| No | 20.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 104 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 180 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
