Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey (PA) announce an increase in bridge and/or tunnel tolls for Class 1 vehicles for 2022 or 2023?
Closed Dec 15, 2022 08:00PM UTC
The PA is responsible for managing transportation infrastructure in the New York City area, including bridges and tunnels (Port Authority, Port Authority - Bridge and Tunnels FAQ, Syracuse.com). As of the launch of this question, the tolls for Class 1 vehicles were $11.75 for EZ Pass Off-peak, $13.75 for EZ Pass On-peak, and $16.00 for cash (Port Authority - Bridge and Tunnels Tolls). To count, an announced increase must be scheduled to take effect before 1 January 2024.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 December 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.50% | |
| No | 34.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 44 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 193 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
