Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
As of 1 July 2022, will France and/or Germany require the wearing of face masks in indoor public places?
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Denmark became the first EU member state to eliminate all of its COVID-19 restrictions, and other states are considering the future of their own measures, including mandatory masking (CNN, France 24, The Local). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by "Re-open EU" for France and Germany in July 2022 (Re-open EU). For each country, see "General measures" under "CORONAVIRUS MEASURES" (Re-open EU - France General measures, Re-open EU - Germany General measures). If that site ceases to provide updated information, general open-source reporting will be used for resolution. Local measures within either country would be immaterial, and a lifting of masking requirements with specific exceptions (e.g., medical facilities, homes for the elderly) would count.
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NOTE 20 June 2022: For the purposes of this question, public transport and/or long-distance train or plane facilities are not considered to concern "public indoor places."
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, France only | 0% | |
Yes, Germany only | 0% | |
Yes, both France and Germany | 0% | |
No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 102 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215 | |
Number of Forecasts | 234 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 606 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |