Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing price of wheat in the US on 15 June 2022?

Agricultural commodity prices have been rising, and war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia, both large wheat producers, may impact production (CNBC, ABC News). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by CNBC (CNBC). Wheat is priced per 5,000 bushels (CME).

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NOTE 15 March 2022: While the named source labels its data as USD, this is not technically accurate. Therefore, the dollar symbols have been removed from the answer bins. The outcome will be determined using data as provided by CNBC (CNBC).


The question closed "Between $950.00 and $1,075.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 15 June 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 700.00 0%
Between 700.00 and 825.00, inclusive 0%
More than 825.00 but less than 950.00 0%
Between 950.00 and 1,075.00, inclusive 55%
More than 1,075.00 but less than 1,200.00, inclusive 45%
1,200.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 135
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 223
Number of Forecasts 877
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 547
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.229
2.
-0.209
3.
-0.205
4.
-0.196
5.
-0.177

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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