Between 4 February 2022 and 4 August 2022, will anti-government protests in Russia result in ten or more fatalities?
Closed Aug 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Russia has seen widespread protests in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine (AP, Moscow Times). Fatalities must occur during the question's duration to qualify, though not necessarily at the same time. If there is clear and credible evidence that the death of a detained protester is due to an injury incurred during a protest, only then would the death of such a prisoner count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 August 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 227 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 656 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |