Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the percentage increase in the producer price index (PPI) for "Self-Service Storage and Miniwarehouses" for December 2022 as compared to December 2021?

Started Mar 30, 2022 09:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The market for self-storage space is continuing to expand, even in the face of rising inflation across the economy (REjournals). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for "Self-Service Storage and Miniwarehouses, Gross Rents" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, expected in January 2023 (FRED).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Between 12.0% and 15.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5.0% 0%
Between 5.0% and 8.0%, inclusive 1%
More than 8.0% but less than 12.0% 5%
Between 12.0% and 15.0%, inclusive 50%
More than 15.0% 43%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 40
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 229
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.187
2.
-0.157
4.
-0.114
5.
-0.106

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username