Question 9 of 27 in Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Between 1 April 2022 and 30 September 2022, will lethal confrontations between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (forces) of Armenia and Azerbaijan result in 100 or more fatalities?

Armenia and Azerbaijan most recently battled over the Nagorno-Karabakh region in 2020, with periodic skirmishes since despite the presence of Russian peacekeepers (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Eurasianet, Deutsche Welle). A qualifying lethal confrontation is one that results in a fatality (total, not each) for forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, the forces of Artsakh, the breakaway Armenian-majority republic in Nagorno-Karabakh, are considered Armenian forces.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 9.00% +0.00%
No 91.00% -0.00%

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