What will be the value of the FAO Cereals Price Index for February 2023?
Closed Mar 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
The UN Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Food Price Indicies, which in the past has been predictive of popular unrest, has reached historic highs (Axios, Slate). The question will be suspended on 28 February 2023 and the outcome determined using nominal data reported by the FAO for Cereals for February 2023, expected in early March 2023 (FAO, see table near bottom of page). As of launch, the value for the Cereals Price Index for March 2022 was 170.1. To download historical nominal data, click either "Excel" or "CSV" above the chart titled "FAO Food Price Index in nominal and real terms."
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The question closed "More than 140.0 but less than 160.0" with a closing date of 1 March 2023.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 120.0 | 1% | |
Between 120.0 and 140.0, inclusive | 12% | |
More than 140.0 but less than 160.0 | 85% | |
Between 160.0 and 180.0, inclusive | 2% | |
More than 180.0 but less than 200.0 | 0% | |
Between 200.0 and 220.0, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 220.0 but less than 240.0 | 0% | |
240.0 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 48 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 353 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |