Question 17 of 43 in Inflation Challenge
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC

As of 8 November 2022, how many birds in commercial and backyard flocks will have confirmations of highly pathogenic avian flu (HPAI) in 2022, according to the USDA?

HPAI outbreaks across the US have already led to the deaths of millions of commercial and "backyard" birds (ABC News, Farm Bureau, NPR). The question will be suspended on 8 November 2022 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Department of Agriculture's (USDA's) Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS). To download the data, first click "Birds Affected" in the table titled "List of Detections by Day." Then click "Download" between "Share" and "Full Screen" in the ribbon below that table. In the new window that pops up, click "Data." In the additional window that pops up, scroll to the bottom of the page and click "Download all rows as a text file." Data will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 15 November 2022. As of 20 April 2022, the total number of birds involved in 2022 HPAI confirmations was 30,950,653.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Fewer than 40 million 0.00% +0.00%
Between 40 million and 50 million, inclusive 85.00% +1.00%
More than 50 million but fewer than 70 million 15.00% -1.00%
Between 70 million and 100 million, inclusive 0.00% +0.00%
More than 100 million but fewer than 150 million 0.00% +0.00%
150 million or more 0.00% +0.00%

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