Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for Top Gun: Maverick reach or exceed $45 million, according to Box Office Mojo?
Top Gun: Maverick is the first sequel to the 1986 blockbuster Top Gun (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 27 May 2022 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the Memorial Day weekend of 27-30 May 2022 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released in theaters on 27 May 2022.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 31 May 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Number of Forecasters||63|
|average for questions in their first 3 months: 182|
|Number of Forecasts||110|
|average for questions in their first 3 months: 397|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|