When will the United Kingdom invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty?
Started
Jul 12, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Tags
To invoke Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon a member state must notify the European Council of its intention to withdraw from the European Union (Washington Post, Lisbon Treaty). Although a majority of voters in the United Kingdom's June 2016 referendum on European Union membership voted to leave the EU (BBC), it is unclear when Article 50 will be invoked or if it will govern the UK's withdrawal process (Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Financial Times).
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This question was closed as "Between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2017" with an end date of 29 March 2017 (Reuters, CNN, BBC).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Between 12 July and 31 December 2016, inclusive | 0% | |
Between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive | 99% | |
Not before 1 July 2017 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 771 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 3050 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |