The Economist asks
Before 1 July 2017, will Scotland set a date for another referendum on independence from the United Kingdom?
Started
Jul 12, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
In the United Kingdom's June 2016 referendum on European Union (EU) membership, a majority of voters in Scotland backed the losing side. The United Kingdom's planned exit from the EU has caused some Scottish leaders to call for another vote on independence, less than two years after nearly 56 percent of voters cast ballots against it (Reuters, The Telegraph, Scotland's Referendum).
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Scotland has not set a date for another referendum on independence from the United Kingdom. This question closed as "b) no" with and end date of 30 June 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Scotland has not set a date for another referendum on independence from the United Kingdom. This question closed as "b) no" with and end date of 30 June 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question clarification
Issued on 03/30/17 04:24pm
The question does not require the referendum to be legally binding, only that a date for a referendum be set.
The question does not require the referendum to be legally binding, only that a date for a referendum be set.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 5.00% | |
No | 95.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 1454 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 3649 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |