Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 23, 2022 07:00PM UTC

In Gallup's 2022 Confidence in Institutions survey, what percentage of respondents will say they have either a "Great deal" or "Quite a lot" of confidence in the US Supreme Court?

For decades, polling firm Gallup has taken annual surveys of Americans about their confidence in American institutions, including the Supreme Court (Gallup - Confidence in Institutions, Gallup - 2021 Confidence in Institutions). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2022 and the outcome determined using data for the same poll, expected to be conducted in June 2022 and released thereafter. Other Gallup polling regarding the Supreme Court would be immaterial. For 2021, 36% of respondents said they have either a "Great deal" or "Quite a lot" of confidence in the US Supreme Court.

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The question closed "Less than 29%" with a closing date of 23 June 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 29% 25%
Between 29% and 33%, inclusive 55%
More than 33% but less than 39% 20%
Between 39% and 43%, inclusive 0%
More than 43% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 46
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 216
Number of Forecasts 160
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 537
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.491
2.
-0.469
4.
-0.39
5.
-0.302

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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