Started May 20, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 14, 2022 04:57PM UTC

Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 20 July 2022?

After weeks of protests over inflation and food shortages, Sri Lanka Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa resigned in early May while his brother Gotabaya continued on as the country's president (NPR, CNN, Voice of America).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 14 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 51
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 216
Number of Forecasts 144
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 537
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.642
2.
-1.551
3.
-1.551
4.
-1.493
5.
-1.355

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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