Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

David Epstein asks:

Will Finland and/or Sweden become members of NATO before 1 January 2023?

Show background information

On 18 May 2022, the countries of Finland and Sweden both submitted applications to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), though Turkey has raised some objections (NATO, CNBC, Al Jazeera). The latest country to join NATO was North Macedonia on 27 March 2020 (NATO).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes, Finland only 2.48% +0.07% -0.63% -1.52%
Yes, Sweden only 2.10% -0.05% -0.15% -0.90%
Yes, both Finland and Sweden 9.57% -0.21% -3.33% -24.43%
No 85.85% +0.19% +4.11% +26.85%

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