erikbays asks:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 April 2023?

Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

War and conflict have left millions in Yemen facing potential famine (World Food Program - Yemen Emergency Dashboard March 2022, Hunger Hotspots - February to May 2022 Outlook, Integrated Food Security Phase Classification - Mapping Tool). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.35%
No 98.65%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 292
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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