Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 02, 2022 07:01AM UTC

At close of business on 2 November 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 21 September 2022?

The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its November meeting is scheduled for 1-2 November 2022.

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The question closed "Higher" with a closing date of 2 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 1%
Same 3%
Higher 96%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 51
Average for questions older than 6 months: 239
Number of Forecasts 153
Average for questions older than 6 months: 658
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.04
2.
-0.039
4.
-0.039
5.
-0.039

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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