What will be the 12-month moving average of median wage growth for "Paid hourly" workers in April 2023?
Closed May 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Increasing labor costs are a big part of the overall inflation story in the US (CNBC, Society for Human Resource Management, Politico). The question will be suspended on 30 April 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Atlanta Fed's "Wage Growth Tracker" (Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker, with "Interactive Chart" selected, click "Hourly workers" under "12-month moving averages (unweighted, hourly)"). In April 2021, the 12-month moving average for "Paid hourly" was 3.4%.
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The question closed "Between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 May 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 2.0% | 0% | |
Between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive | 4% | |
More than 4.0% but less than 6.0% | 24% | |
Between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive | 72% | |
More than 8.0% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 42 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
Number of Forecasts | 219 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 637 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |