Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing May 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

What will be the 12-month moving average of median wage growth for "Paid hourly" workers in April 2023?

Increasing labor costs are a big part of the overall inflation story in the US (CNBC, Society for Human Resource Management, Politico). The question will be suspended on 30 April 2023 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Atlanta Fed's "Wage Growth Tracker" (Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker, with "Interactive Chart" selected, click "Hourly workers" under "12-month moving averages (unweighted, hourly)"). In April 2021, the 12-month moving average for "Paid hourly" was 3.4%.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 2.0% 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00%
Between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive 11.00% +0.00% -1.00% -8.00%
More than 4.0% but less than 6.0% 56.00% +0.00% +0.00% +1.00%
Between 6.0% and 8.0%, inclusive 30.00% +0.00% +1.00% +8.00%
More than 8.0% 2.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

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