What will be the unadjusted percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for coffee in May 2023 as compared to May 2022?

Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 31 May 2023 and the outcome determined using "Unadjusted percent change/May 2022 - May 2023" data as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, expected in June 2023 (BLS - CPI, BLS - CPI Release Archive). For May 2022, the BLS reported an unadjusted annual percentage change for coffee of 15.3% (BLS - CPI May 2022, see Table 2 for "Coffee").

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The question closed "Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Down by more than 3.0% 1%
Down by between 0.0% and 3.0%, inclusive 2%
Up by more than 0.0% but less than 3.0% 16%
Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive 33%
Up by more than 6.0% but less than 9.0% 35%
Up by between 9.0% and 12.0%, inclusive 10%
Up by more than 12.0% 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 46
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 254
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.155
2.
-0.125
3.
-0.121
4.
-0.115
5.
-0.104

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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