What will be the unadjusted percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for coffee in May 2023 as compared to May 2022?

Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 31 May 2023 and the outcome determined using "Unadjusted percent change/May 2022 - May 2023" data as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, expected in June 2023 (BLS - CPI, BLS - CPI Release Archive). For May 2022, the BLS reported an unadjusted annual percentage change for coffee of 15.3% (BLS - CPI May 2022, see Table 2 for "Coffee").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 June 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Down by more than 3.0% 1%
Down by between 0.0% and 3.0%, inclusive 2%
Up by more than 0.0% but less than 3.0% 16%
Up by between 3.0% and 6.0%, inclusive 33%
Up by more than 6.0% but less than 9.0% 35%
Up by between 9.0% and 12.0%, inclusive 10%
Up by more than 12.0% 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 46
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 254
Average for questions older than 6 months: 596
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username