  The Monkey Cage asks
Which presidential candidate will win Michigan?
Started
Jul 15, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed on 'Donald Trump' with an end date of 8 November 2016 (NY Times, International Business Times).
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The presidential race in Michigan is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions: Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which presidential candidate will win Ohio? Which presidential candidate will win Pennsylvania?
The presidential race in Michigan is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions: Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which presidential candidate will win Ohio? Which presidential candidate will win Pennsylvania?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Someone else | 0% | |
| Hillary Clinton | 88% | |
| Donald Trump | 12% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 504 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1421 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
