Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?

The 2022 midterm elections are scheduled for 8 November 2022, when Republicans hope to regain control of the House of Representatives (Politico, FiveThirtyEight). The outcome will be determined using 2022 election results. If a Republican candidate appears on the ballot and receives the most votes, that seat would count toward the total irrespective of the incapacitation of that candidate (e.g., CNN).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 207 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Between 207 and 217 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.00%
Between 218 and 228 33.00% +2.00% +2.00% +0.00%
Between 229 and 239 50.00% -1.00% -1.00% +2.00%
Between 240 and 250 16.00% -1.00% -1.00% +1.00%
More than 250 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% -2.00%

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