Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC
The 2022 midterm elections are scheduled for 8 November 2022, when Republicans hope to regain control of the House of Representatives (Politico, FiveThirtyEight). The outcome will be determined using 2022 election results. If a Republican candidate appears on the ballot and receives the most votes, that seat would count toward the total irrespective of the incapacitation of that candidate (e.g., CNN).
The question closed "Between 218 and 228" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Fewer than 207||1%|
|Between 207 and 217||7%|
|Between 218 and 228||39%|
|Between 229 and 239||39%|
|Between 240 and 250||10%|
|More than 250||4%|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||88|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 219|
|Number of Forecasts||406|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 613|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||average|