Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Drought, conflict, and other factors have left millions in the Horn of Africa facing potential famine (ABC News, Reliefweb, Integrated Food Security Phase Classification - Mapping Tool). For the purposes of this question, the countries in the Horn of Africa are Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, and Uganda (Britannica). For general information on how famines are declared, see: NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration would not count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 24.44% -0.54% -2.67% -15.72%
No 75.56% +0.54% +2.67% +15.72%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username