Before 1 July 2023, will the Federal Reserve announce a cut in the US federal funds rate?

Started Jul 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

As the Federal Reserve increases interest rates to combat inflation, there are concerns whether the US will be pushed into recession (JP Morgan, The Hill, US News & World Report). Conditional announcements (e.g., if the labor market deteriorates, if inflation falls) would not count. The last time the Federal Reserve announced a cut to the US federal funds rate was 15 March 2020 (Federal Reserve).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 12.23% -0.10% -1.79% -0.37%
No 87.77% +0.10% +1.79% +0.37%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username