When will Iraq's Mosul Dam collapse?
Started
Jul 19, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
The U.S. government warned in February 2016 that there is a serious risk of Iraq's Mosul Dam collapsing, potentially killing hundreds of thousands of people and knocking out a significant portion of Iraq's electricity supply (U.S. Embassy in Iraq, NY Times).
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Iraq's Mosul dam has not collapsed. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 January 2017 | 0% | |
Between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive | 0% | |
Not before 1 January 2018 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 425 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1966 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |