Between 22 July 2022 and 31 December 2022, how many members will announce their withdrawal from the Cooperation between China and Central and Eastern European Countries (China-CEEC) initiative?

Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

In May 2021, Lithuania announced it would leave the China-CEEC group, turning the "17+1" initiative into "16+1" (Taipei Times, China Daily). Current members as of the question's launch are Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, and Slovenia (Politico, Al Jazeera). The date the withdrawal would take effect would be immaterial, and a member's withdrawal announcement that is rescinded during the question's open period would not count.

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The question closed "1 or 2" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 6%
1 or 2 94%
3 or 4 0%
5 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 36
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 180
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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