Between 22 July 2022 and 31 December 2022, how many members will announce their withdrawal from the Cooperation between China and Central and Eastern European Countries (China-CEEC) initiative?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
In May 2021, Lithuania announced it would leave the China-CEEC group, turning the "17+1" initiative into "16+1" (Taipei Times, China Daily). Current members as of the question's launch are Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, and Slovenia (Politico, Al Jazeera). The date the withdrawal would take effect would be immaterial, and a member's withdrawal announcement that is rescinded during the question's open period would not count.
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The question closed "1 or 2" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | |
| 1 or 2 | 94% | |
| 3 or 4 | 0% | |
| 5 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 36 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 219 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 180 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 613 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
