  The Monkey Cage asks
Which presidential candidate will win Virginia?
Started
Jul 29, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed with the correct answer 'Hillary Clinton' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Hillary Clinton won the state of Virginia on November 8. (NY Times)
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The presidential race in Virginia is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which presidential candidate will win Georgia? Which presidential candidate will win North Carolina?
The presidential race in Virginia is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which presidential candidate will win Georgia? Which presidential candidate will win North Carolina?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Hillary Clinton | 90% | |
| Donald Trump | 10% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 538 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1361 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
