Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC

MrLittleTexas asks:

What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

The incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott is set to face Democratic former US Representative Beto O'Rourke in the 2022 gubernatorial election (The Hill, Texas Tribune, FiveThirtyEight).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
50.0% or less and will not win the election 3.00% +0.00% +0.00%
50.0% or less but will win the election 6.00% +0.00% +0.00%
More than 50.0% but less than 55.0% 53.00% +0.00% -14.00%
55.0% or more 38.00% +0.00% +14.00%

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