MrLittleTexas asks:

What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC

The incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott is set to face Democratic former US Representative Beto O'Rourke in the 2022 gubernatorial election (The Hill, Texas Tribune, FiveThirtyEight).

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The question closed "More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
50.0% or less and will not win the election 4%
50.0% or less but will win the election 9%
More than 50.0% but less than 55.0% 57%
55.0% or more 30%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 52
Average for questions older than 6 months: 201
Number of Forecasts 177
Average for questions older than 6 months: 573
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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