Will federal legislation providing for the establishment of a US interagency committee on global catastrophic risk become law before 1 January 2023?
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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On 23 June 2022, US Sens. Rob Portman and Gary Peters introduced a bill entitled the "Global Catastrophic Risk Management Act of 2022," which would require the president to establish an interagency committee on catastrophic risk (Congress.gov, Senate Committee on Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.06% | |
| No | 99.94% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 42 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 170 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
