At close of business on 14 December 2022, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 2 November 2022?

Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 14, 2022 08:01AM UTC

The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its December meeting is scheduled for 13-14 December 2022.

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The question closed "Higher" with a closing date of 14 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 0%
Same 7%
Higher 93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 246
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.111
2.
-0.105
3.
-0.1
4.
-0.095
5.
-0.093

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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