Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state before 1 April 2023?
Closed Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, there is continued speculation that Putin may recognize Transnistria, a breakaway region in eastern Moldova on Ukraine's western border, which already hosts Russian peacekeepers (Britannica, European Council on Foreign Relations, Balkan Insight, G4 Media [in Romanian]).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.78% | |
| No | 97.22% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 136 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 220 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 521 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 615 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
