Terry-Smith asks:

Will Apple's end-of-day closing market capitalization reach or exceed $3 trillion before 31 December 2022?

Started Aug 19, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Apple, one of the largest publicly traded companies in the world, briefly hit $3 trillion in market capitalization in January 2022 during intraday trading, but has never closed at that level (CNBC, Investopedia - Market Capitalization). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Companies Market Cap website (Companies Market Cap).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 30 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 3.03%
No 96.97%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 94
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 352
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.063262
2.
-0.062889
3.
-0.053762
4.
-0.04674
5.
-0.036898

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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