What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2022?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
As China continues to deal with COVID outbreaks and a distressed property market, its economic growth has slowed (CNBC, Al Jazeera, Guardian). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in January 2023 (Trading Economics).
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The question closed "More than 2.0% but less than 4.0%" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 0.0% | 4% | |
| Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive | 27% | |
| More than 2.0% but less than 4.0% | 55% | |
| Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive | 14% | |
| More than 6.0% but less than 8.0% | 0% | |
| 8.0% or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 54 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 220 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 246 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 615 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
