What will be China's annual GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2022?

Started Aug 26, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

As China continues to deal with COVID outbreaks and a distressed property market, its economic growth has slowed (CNBC, Al Jazeera, Guardian). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as first reported by Trading Economics, expected in January 2023 (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "More than 2.0% but less than 4.0%" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 0.0% 4%
Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive 27%
More than 2.0% but less than 4.0% 55%
Between 4.0% and 6.0%, inclusive 14%
More than 6.0% but less than 8.0% 0%
8.0% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 54
Average for questions older than 6 months: 220
Number of Forecasts 246
Average for questions older than 6 months: 615
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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