Started Sep 12, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Will the closing value of the euro to US dollar exchange rate be higher than 1.00 on 7 October 2022?

Amid the war in Ukraine and concerns about energy supplies in Europe, the euro to US dollar exchange rate hit parity for the first time in two decades on 13 July 2022, meaning that one euro was worth one dollar (CNBC, AP). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 7 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 19.73%
No 80.27%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 199
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 172
Number of Forecasts 755
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 380
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.249
2.
-0.249
3.
-0.2
4.
-0.198
5.
-0.179

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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