Started Sep 02, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month before July 2023?

The COVID-19 pandemic hit the us labor market hard, and labor force participation has not recovered to pre-pandemic levels (US News & World Report, Brookings Institution, Fox Business). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2022 and the outcome determined using Bureau of Labor Statistics data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 14.30% -0.15% -1.10% -3.85%
No 85.70% +0.15% +1.10% +3.85%

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