Started Sep 16, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 April 2023, will Russia detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian territory or airspace?

Amid successful counterattacks by Ukrainian forces in the east of the country, there are concerns that Russia could resort to using nuclear weapons (The Hill, US News & World Report). A radiological device (aka "dirty bomb") would not count (Mass.gov).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 7.33% -0.25% +2.09%
No 92.67% +0.25% -2.09%

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