Before 1 April 2023, will Russia detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian territory or airspace?

Started Sep 16, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Amid successful counterattacks by Ukrainian forces in the east of the country, there are concerns that Russia could resort to using nuclear weapons (The Hill, US News & World Report). A radiological device (aka "dirty bomb") would not count (

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NOTE 7 October 2022: "Russian territory" includes the boundaries generally recognized by the international community.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 0.53% -0.06% -0.77% -1.58%
No 99.47% +0.06% +0.77% +1.58%

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