In National Pork Producers Council v. Ross, will the Supreme Court rule any part of California’s Farm Animal Confinement Initiative (Prop 12) unconstitutional?

Started Sep 23, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 11, 2023 02:20PM UTC

In 2018, California voters approved Prop 12, which set various standards for the sale of certain animal products in the state (Ballotpedia). The National Pork Producers Council and American Farm Bureau Federation (Council) sued in federal court, claiming Prop 12 violated the dormant Commerce Clause of the constitution (Oyez, Saylor Academy). After losing in both the district court and Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, the Council appealed to the Supreme Court (SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2022 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 11 May 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 32.64%
No 67.36%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 27
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 115
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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