Will more than 2,500,000 federal firearm background checks be initiated in the US in October 2022?
Closed Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Background checks for gun purchases have fallen from historic highs in 2020 and 2021, but remain above pre-pandemic levels (National Interest). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the FBI (FBI.gov). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first reported for October 2022, expected in early November 2022. For October 2021, the FBI reported 2,593,168 firearm background checks.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 November 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.97% | |
| No | 33.03% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 162 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 219 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 367 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 613 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
