Started Sep 28, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many passenger cars will be produced in the EU in 2023?

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA) (ACEA). As of the launch of this question, the ACEA reported 9,946,696 cars produced in 2021.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 9.5 million 59.00% +0.00% +1.00% +22.06%
Between 9.5 million and 10.5 million, inclusive 24.00% +0.00% -1.00% -8.06%
More than 10.5 million but fewer than 11.5 million 12.00% +0.00% +1.00% -8.69%
Between 11.5 million and 12.5 million, inclusive 3.00% +0.00% -1.00% -4.13%
More than 12.5 million 2.00% +0.00% +0.00% -1.19%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username