Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 April 2023, will Liz Truss cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?
Started
Oct 04, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2022 01:54PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2022 01:54PM UTC
Since becoming the UK prime minister in early September 2022, Liz Truss is facing a number of challenges, including blowback from an economic plan and political tensions in Northern Ireland (NPR, NBC News, BBC).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 25 October 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.66% | |
| No | 0.34% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 125 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 440 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
