Johnxf asks:

Will elections for the Kurdistan Parliament be held in 2023?

Started Oct 14, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

In October 2022, the Kurdistan Parliament extended its current term because political parties in the regional party could not come to an agreement on holding elections in 2022 as planned (Kurdistan24, Al Arabiya, Parliament.krd). The question would close early upon the official announcement that parliamentary elections will not take place in 2023.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 9.90%
No 90.10%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 50
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 196
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.538659
2.
-0.51477
3.
-0.400297
4.
-0.314586
5.
-0.260321

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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